Project Good Judgement Update
Posted on by leslie
Earlier this summer I posted about our project with The Good Judgment Team on pushing the boundaries of forecasting methodologies. I’m thrilled to say that a week ago, we went live, with more than 3,000 participants worldwide making forecasts and, in some cases, arguments, about the future of political, economic, and technological trends. To date, we have well over 20,000 forecasts in the system across more than dozen experimental permutations, and it’s growing every minute.
The project represents one of the first controlled and scientific studies of forecasting training and methodologies. We’re honored to be a part of it, and look forward to sharing the results with you as we learn.