Archive for November, 2009

Could Palm have known the Pixi would miss the mark?

Posted on November 24th, 2009 by mat

I was reading a review of the new Palm Pixi on Gizmodo and I was struck by the classic new product issues that the review highlighted. First off, the product was released at $100 when its more powerful sibling the Pre is available for roughly the same price. So, Palm has likely hurt its sales [...]

Finding Footing Wherever Prediction is Key

Posted on November 20th, 2009 by mat

Universities represent our collective future. Although universities hand out diplomas to individuals, it’s our future doctors, CEOs and world leaders who toss up their hats at the end of the ceremony, right? A recent CNET article highlighted an exercise at Singularity University’s executive program. Melanie Swan, a Silicon Valley hedge fund manager, had groups of [...]

Playing for Keeps: The Perfect Profile for Prediction Market Success

Posted on November 16th, 2009 by leslie

The anecdotes of prediction market pilots in major organizations are everywhere. Often they are tried in a small, almost clandestine manner within an isolated corner of a company by someone fairly junior. His forecasts tend to take on one of two characteristics – fun forecasts (sports, elections, etc.) or forecasts that are business related. The [...]

Pharmer's Market in the NY Times

Posted on November 15th, 2009 by mat

In the article Seeking a Shorter Path to New Drugs, Natasha Singer covers innovative methods that drug companies and researchers are using to improve drug discovery and commercialization. One of the projects she highlights is the Pharmer’s Market, our collaboration with MIT and Harvard that we announced last month. To learn more or to sign-up [...]

Interested in E 2.0? Want to bet on the state of E 2.0 and win prizes? Now's your chance!

Posted on November 4th, 2009 by leslie

As we mentioned last week, Crowdcast is teaming up with Susan Scrupski and the 2.0 Adoption Council to launch a new prediction market today at the E 2.0 Conference here in San Francisco. Those attending the conference can submit their bets during the conference for chances to win prizes for the most accurate predictions. Not [...]

Forecasting Blues (and what to do about it)

Posted on November 2nd, 2009 by mat

The Boeing Dreamliner has been delayed 5 times and is more than 2 years behind schedule, severely denting corporate credibility and profits. Standish reports that 68% of IT projects deliver over budget, are late or missing key features, with 24% of projects being abandoned or canceled. Flyvbjerg et al. (2002) report on how public works [...]